We’ve already seen two blockbuster trades – one with the Rams and Titans and another with the Eagles and Browns – but don’t be surprised if you see a few more between now and the NFL Draft on Thursday.
Or better yet, between the start of the first round and the end of it.
“I think it’s going to be a drama-filled draft with a lot of trading, fast and furious, especially inside the top 10,” NFL Draft Bible founder Rick Serritella said on CBS Sports Radio’s After Hours with Amy Lawrence. “I think that’s what happens when you have the first two trade-ups at 1 and 2. I think there’s a couple of other trade scenarios happening there inside that top 10. From what I understand, the Cleveland Browns like Paxton Lynch. They might like him enough at No. 8. However, you got the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets at 19 and 20 who also need a quarterback. So San Francisco at 7 could trade back. We could see one of those teams trade up for a quarterback. And the other buzz I’m hearing is that Washington and Atlanta are trying to trade up into the top 10 to get ahead of the Miami Dolphins for Ezekiel Elliott. So there’s a couple of guys here. I think you could see a lot of trading, a lot of maneuvering, a lot of teams moving up, and I think Paxton Lynch, Ezekiel Elliott – those are the two guys that teams could be trading up to get.”
Serritella has heard from multiple sources that several teams are interested in moving up to draft Elliott. That could be true, or it could a smoke screen. No one knows.
We’ll find out for sure Thursday.
“Listen, if you’re inside a war room or you’re on a team, why would you want to tell a guy like me – or anybody, really – what your plans or intentions are?” Serritella asked. “So you develop relationships, you try to rely on people that you trust over the years, but I’ll tell you this: Once I get to about a week before the draft, I try to tune everything out, I got my blinders on, and I just take everything with a grain of salt. Thats what time of year we’re in right now.”
We’re all in the overhype-and-overpay time of year. Jared Goff and Carson Wentz are solid prospects, but their top-of-the-draft value seems more circumstantial than anything else.
“I think what you’re seeing here is a trend that’s going to continue to grow,” Serritella said. “That’s because the college game isn’t producing quarterbacks like they have been. There’s a number of reasons, mostly because of the spread offense – the simplified, dumb-downed offense. And then you take a look around the league. You have guys like Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Philip Rivers, Eli Manning, Ben Roethlisberger – those are probably the best quarterbacks in the league, and three or four years from now, most of those guys, if not all of those guys, are going to be out of the league.
“I think that’s why you’re seeing teams now – I don’t want to use the word ‘panic’ – but they want to get on board, make sure they have a franchise quarterback because these guys are going to become harder and harder to find. As you can see from free agency, you’ve got to overpay for a guy like Sam Bradford or Brock Osweiler, (who’s getting paid) $18 million a year. It’s getting to be pretty crazy.”